[Kwangsoo's Take] Wall Street's Rotation Call and Japan's Chip Warning Don't Hold Up
On Morgan Stanley's rotation call urging investors to trim chips in favor of hyperscalers, Lee Kwang-soo argued the report merely rationalizes after the fact what investors were already doing. He said institutions lean on words like rotation because they compete on short-term returns, but that this offers no meaningful guidance for ordinary retail investors who cannot reshuffle holdings every month.
He noted Morgan Stanley had previously shocked the market with a 'Winter is Coming' report warning of a memory downturn, only to walk it back roughly six months later. He also recalled allegations of a conflict of interest, where the firm issued bearish notes while reportedly having pre-placed large orders, adding that SK hynix recently excluded Morgan Stanley from its ADR institutional allocation.
He directly rebutted Nikkei's report, which cited U.S. antitrust scrutiny to warn that Korean chipmakers' dominant position could lead to a collapse similar to Japan's semiconductor industry in the 1980s. He explained that Japan's decline stemmed not from trade pressure but from its own failure to adapt to the shift toward PCs and commodity chips, whereas Korea, led by SK hynix, is now driving the shift from commodity DRAM to specialized HBM. He also flagged that the Nikkei piece relied on an anonymous Korean source, amplified further by domestic outlets re-citing it.
On the front-running case involving the economic broadcaster's staff, he framed it not as individual misconduct but as institutional responsibility, arguing that a media outlet buying stocks ahead of its own market-moving coverage amounts to market manipulation, and called for sanctions and preventive measures against the outlet itself.